Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 8.370989 9.822840 11.412996 13.278767 15.402537 17.739201 20.498958
2025-11-30 6.106194 8.113289 10.547362 13.690389 17.612314 22.313664 28.341188
2025-12-07 4.825954 7.081583 10.045116 14.162857 19.665374 26.686008 36.228572
2025-12-14 3.732892 5.984625 9.158768 13.856186 20.506247 29.440037 42.173669
2025-12-21 2.933371 5.101343 8.358853 13.457853 21.049872 31.711619 47.532901
2025-12-28 2.579906 4.805645 8.332944 14.114515 23.081159 36.126835 56.110693
2026-01-04 2.256658 4.487498 8.204758 14.563861 24.801659 40.181812 64.422935
2026-01-11 1.923528 4.083076 7.864415 14.608426 25.863558 43.296132 71.521615
2026-01-18 1.649257 3.729238 7.548372 14.633518 26.862104 46.344820 78.678210
2026-01-25 1.371796 3.311925 7.052153 14.273434 27.163567 48.283500 84.195948
2026-02-01 1.147083 2.954379 6.608245 13.939378 27.452048 50.185089 89.730394
2026-02-08 0.944674 2.600533 6.114359 13.442473 27.387278 51.466593 94.297082
2026-02-15 0.751666 2.235127 5.562563 12.811694 27.106106 52.510546 98.815982
2026-02-22 0.675001 2.136839 5.564872 13.295902 28.971559 57.460858 110.376689
2026-03-01 0.607128 2.044463 5.564592 13.772786 30.865673 62.597143 122.591913
2026-03-08 0.502113 1.821502 5.224203 13.476361 31.202833 64.927644 130.006107
2026-03-15 0.410743 1.609224 4.867480 13.088027 31.301360 66.802123 136.693425
2026-03-22 0.381050 1.578402 4.958738 13.729213 33.586889 72.950860 151.529439
2026-03-29 0.345682 1.518869 4.964556 14.167978 35.476584 78.452346 165.461533
2026-04-05 0.299993 1.409367 4.815482 14.211498 36.508110 82.334754 176.555499
2026-04-12 0.260144 1.307328 4.667573 14.236000 37.493550 86.179211 187.775701
2026-04-19 0.215519 1.169831 4.388500 13.884401 37.587158 88.214211 195.591525
2026-04-26 0.178779 1.049060 4.133845 13.558242 37.700899 90.284617 203.572810